J1 League· Regular Season - 16· Ajinomoto Stadium
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima25 Nov
FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 25 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sanfrecce Hiroshima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5FC Tokyo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| 1XFC Tokyo or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.23 | - |
| 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.82 | - |
| 1FC Tokyo to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Tokyo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.66 | - |
FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Tokyo host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League (Regular Season - 16) at Ajinomoto Stadium on Wednesday, 25 November 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Tokyo arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Tokyo have won 1, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima narrow favourites: FC Tokyo 23%, draw 38%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Tokyo 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Recent form
FC Tokyo- 14 OctAMito Hollyhock0-1
- 10 OctHUrawa3-0
- 7 OctHShonan Bellmare4-0
- 29 SeptAEhime FC2-0
- 19 SeptHNagoya Grampus1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- 14 OctAMatsumoto Yamaga1-0
- 11 OctATokyo Verdy2-0
- 7 OctHIwaki4-0
- 29 SeptATochigi City2-0
- 19 SeptAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: FAQ
What is the FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Who is the favourite to win FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites. Our model gives FC Tokyo a 23% chance of winning, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima kick off?
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FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 25 November 2026 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo.
