Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 32· Chorten Arena
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin3-2
FT
Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 9 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Jagiellonia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XJagiellonia or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Pogon Szczecin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Pogon Szczecin or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Jagiellonia to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Jagiellonia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Pogon Szczecin to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Pogon Szczecin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.04 | - |
Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin preview & analysis
Match preview
Jagiellonia host Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 32) at Chorten Arena on Saturday, 9 May 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Jagiellonia have won 1, Pogon Szczecin have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Jagiellonia narrow favourites: Jagiellonia 44%, draw 38%, Pogon Szczecin 18%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +17 | 60 |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +15 | 56 |
| 4 |  Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | +11 | 55 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +6 | 50 |
| 6 |  Legia Warszawa | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | +5 | 49 |
| 7 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +7 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 |  Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 |  Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 |  Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 |  Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 |  Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 |  Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -27 | 36 |
| 18 |  Nieciecza | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -22 | 34 |
Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
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Jagiellonia are favourites. Our model gives Jagiellonia a 44% chance of winning, Pogon Szczecin 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin kick off?
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Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at Chorten Arena, Bialystok.
