Copa Libertadores· Quarter-finals· Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Independiente del Valle
Flamengo0-2
FT
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 11 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Flamengo or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Independiente del Valle +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XIndependiente del Valle or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Flamengo to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Independiente del Valle to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Independiente del Valle -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo preview & analysis
Match preview
Independiente del Valle host Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores (Quarter-finals) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil on Friday, 11 September 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Independiente del Valle have won 2, Flamengo have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo narrow favourites: Independiente del Valle 23%, draw 38%, Flamengo 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
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Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Independiente del Valle a 23% chance of winning, Flamengo 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo kick off?
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Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Friday, 11 September 2026 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.
