K League 1· Regular Season - 15· Sungui Arena Park
Incheon United
Gwangju FC4-0
FT
Incheon United vs Gwangju FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Incheon United vs Gwangju FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Incheon United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XIncheon United or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Gwangju FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.46 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.68 | - |
| X2Gwangju FC or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Incheon United to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.46 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Incheon United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.18 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Gwangju FC to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gwangju FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 21.56 | - |
Incheon United vs Gwangju FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Incheon United host Gwangju FC in the K League 1 (Regular Season - 15) at Sungui Arena Park on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Incheon United have won 4, Gwangju FC have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Incheon United favourites: Incheon United 47%, draw 41%, Gwangju FC 12%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Head to head
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Seoul | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | +32 | 65 |
| 2 |  Ulsan Hyundai FC | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | +4 | 47 |
| 3 |  Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  Jeju United FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 46 |
| 5 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +9 | 44 |
| 6 |  Daejeon Citizen | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 | Incheon United | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | +6 | 42 |
| 8 |  FC Anyang | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | -8 | 41 |
| 9 |  Pohang Steelers | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 |  Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 31 | 5 | 18 | 8 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 |  Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 31 | 2 | 12 | 17 | -41 | 18 |
Incheon United vs Gwangju FC: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Incheon United vs Gwangju FC?
+
Incheon United are favourites. Our model gives Incheon United a 47% chance of winning, Gwangju FC 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Incheon United vs Gwangju FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Incheon United vs Gwangju FC kick off?
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Incheon United vs Gwangju FC kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at Sungui Arena Park, Incheon.
