Veikkausliiga· Regular Season - 8· Tammela Stadium
Ilves
Gnistan2-0
FT
Ilves vs Gnistan Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 23 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Ilves vs Gnistan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Gnistan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Gnistan or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Ilves +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XIlves or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Gnistan to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gnistan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Ilves to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Ilves -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Ilves vs Gnistan preview & analysis
Match preview
Ilves host Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga (Regular Season - 8) at Tammela Stadium on Saturday, 23 May 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Ilves have won 4, Gnistan have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Gnistan narrow favourites: Ilves 23%, draw 38%, Gnistan 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
Ilves vs Gnistan: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Ilves vs Gnistan?
+
Gnistan are favourites. Our model gives Ilves a 23% chance of winning, Gnistan 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Ilves vs Gnistan?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Ilves vs Gnistan kick off?
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Ilves vs Gnistan kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 23 May 2026 at Tammela Stadium, Tampere.
