Allsvenskan· Regular Season - 25· Borås Arena
IF Elfsborg
Malmo FF23 Oct
IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 23 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5IF Elfsborg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XIF Elfsborg or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Malmo FF +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Malmo FF or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1IF Elfsborg to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5IF Elfsborg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Malmo FF to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Malmo FF -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF preview & analysis
Match preview
IF Elfsborg host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan (Regular Season - 25) at Borås Arena on Friday, 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
IF Elfsborg arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Halmstad 4-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 40 points from 23 games. Malmo FF arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Kalmar FF 1-0 at home. They're 6th in the table with 36 points from 23 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, IF Elfsborg have won 2, Malmo FF have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes IF Elfsborg narrow favourites: IF Elfsborg 44%, draw 38%, Malmo FF 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is IF Elfsborg 1-0 Malmo FF.
Recent form
IF Elfsborg- 12 OctHHalmstad4-0
- 2 OctHBK Hacken0-1
- 20 SeptADjurgardens IF2-1
- 13 SeptHKalmar FF1-0
- 6 SeptAIF Brommapojkarna1-2
Malmo FF- 12 OctHKalmar FF1-0
- 3 OctHFC Nordsjaelland3-0
- 19 SeptAVasteras SK FK0-2
- 13 SeptHOrgryte IS4-1
- 7 SeptHAIK Stockholm0-0
Head to head
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | +25 | 54 |
| 2 |  Djurgardens IF | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 44 |
| 3 |  Hammarby FF | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +13 | 40 |
| 5 |  BK Hacken | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 |  Vasteras SK FK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 |  IFK Goteborg | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 |  AIK Stockholm | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Gais | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 30 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 |  Degerfors IF | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 20 |
| 14 |  Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -16 | 19 |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -27 | 15 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -28 | 14 |
IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF: FAQ
What is the IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is IF Elfsborg 1-0 Malmo FF.
Who is the favourite to win IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
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IF Elfsborg are favourites. Our model gives IF Elfsborg a 44% chance of winning, Malmo FF 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF kick off?
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IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Borås Arena, Boras.
