2. Bundesliga· Regular Season - 8· Holstein-Stadion
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC16 Oct
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 16 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Holstein Kiel or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
More Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Hertha BSC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| AH1 +1.5Holstein Kiel +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| X2Hertha BSC or Draw | 70% | 1.43 | 1.41 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.37 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.72 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 | 2.05 |
| 2Hertha BSC to win | 43% | 2.35 | 2.27 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 | 2.66 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 33% | 3.04 | 2.86 |
| 1Holstein Kiel to win | 30% | 3.33 | 2.80 |
| AH2 -1.5Hertha BSC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | 3.75 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.66 | 3.95 |
| AH1 -1.5Holstein Kiel -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.51 | 5.10 |
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.15 | - | - | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.88 | 2.21 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.37 | 2.86 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.95 | 2.27 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.77 | 3.88 | 2.19 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.37 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.41 | 2.62 | 1.36 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.88 | 4.06 | 2.20 | 1.43 | 2.86 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.56 | 3.37 | 2.16 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.82 | 3.90 | 2.27 | 1.47 | 2.77 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC preview & analysis
Match preview
Holstein Kiel host Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8) at Holstein-Stadion on Friday, 16 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Holstein Kiel arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 4 points from 7 games. Hertha BSC arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 21 points from 7 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Holstein Kiel have won 1, Hertha BSC have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Hertha BSC narrow favourites: Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 27%, Hertha BSC 43%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.5 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 67% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Holstein Kiel should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw for extra safety. Our pick is Holstein Kiel or Draw at 1.62, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hertha BSC.
Recent form
Holstein Kiel- 9 OctAEintracht Braunschweig0-1
- 3 OctHViborg3-1
- 19 SeptHVfL Osnabrück1-1
- 13 SeptA1. FC Heidenheim0-1
- 5 SeptH1. FC Nürnberg2-2
Hertha BSC- 11 OctHSpVgg Greuther Fürth2-1
- 2 OctAFC Augsburg2-2
- 29 SeptAHertha Zehlendorf3-1
- 19 SeptADynamo Dresden2-1
- 13 SeptAVfL Osnabrück3-1
Head to head
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  FC St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC: FAQ
What is the Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC prediction?
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Our tip is Holstein Kiel or Draw at odds of 1.62. Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hertha BSC.
Who is the favourite to win Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
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Hertha BSC are favourites. Our model gives Holstein Kiel a 30% chance of winning, Hertha BSC 43%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
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We rate both teams to score at 67%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC kick off?
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Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel.
