HNL· Regular Season - 10· Stadion Poljud
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin18 Oct
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
More HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5HNK Hajduk Split +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| 1XHNK Hajduk Split or Draw | 78% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| AH2 +1.5NK Varazdin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | 1.30 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| X2NK Varazdin or Draw | 51% | 1.97 | 2.00 |
| 1HNK Hajduk Split to win | 49% | 2.03 | 1.82 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 | 1.98 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.19 | 2.09 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 | 2.69 |
| AH1 -1.5HNK Hajduk Split -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.11 | 2.97 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.54 | 3.60 |
| 2NK Varazdin to win | 22% | 4.46 | 4.61 |
| AH2 -1.5NK Varazdin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.22 | 9.90 |
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 | - | - | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.20 | 4.61 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.60 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.66 | 2.06 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 1.91 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.10 | 1.77 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.01 | 5.12 | 1.86 | 1.93 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.35 | 4.01 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin preview & analysis
Match preview
HNK Hajduk Split host NK Varazdin in the HNL (Regular Season - 10) at Stadion Poljud on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Ajax 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 19 points from 9 games. NK Varazdin arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 18 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, HNK Hajduk Split have won 1, NK Varazdin have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes HNK Hajduk Split favourites: HNK Hajduk Split 49%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 22%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 52% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.75, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin.
Recent form
HNK Hajduk Split- 15 OctHAjax2-1
- 10 OctHDinamo Zagreb2-1
- 20 SeptAHNK Rijeka0-3
- 13 SeptHNK Slaven Belupo1-0
- 8 SeptAVardarac2-0
NK Varazdin- 11 OctANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-0
- 2 OctAAluminij0-0
- 19 SeptHNK Osijek0-0
- 14 SeptAHNK Gorica2-2
- 9 SeptAZagora4-0
Head to head
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  NK Osijek | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  HNK Rijeka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 |  Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 |  HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin: FAQ
What is the HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.75. Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin.
Who is the favourite to win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
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HNK Hajduk Split are favourites. Our model gives HNK Hajduk Split a 49% chance of winning, NK Varazdin 22%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin kick off?
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HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Stadion Poljud, Split.
