HNL· Regular Season - 12· Stadion Poljud
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica31 Oct
HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5HNK Hajduk Split +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XHNK Hajduk Split or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5HNK Gorica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2HNK Gorica or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1HNK Hajduk Split to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5HNK Hajduk Split -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2HNK Gorica to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5HNK Gorica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica preview & analysis
Match preview
HNK Hajduk Split host HNK Gorica in the HNL (Regular Season - 12) at Stadion Poljud on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Ajax 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 19 points from 9 games. HNK Gorica arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Rudes 1-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 5 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, HNK Hajduk Split have won 4, HNK Gorica have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes HNK Hajduk Split narrow favourites: HNK Hajduk Split 44%, draw 38%, HNK Gorica 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK Gorica.
Recent form
HNK Hajduk Split- 15 OctHAjax2-1
- 10 OctHDinamo Zagreb2-1
- 20 SeptAHNK Rijeka0-3
- 13 SeptHNK Slaven Belupo1-0
- 8 SeptAVardarac2-0
HNK Gorica- 9 OctHRudes1-2
- 2 OctHBravo3-3
- 28 SeptAMaribor1-1
- 19 SeptAIstra 19611-0
- 14 SeptHNK Varazdin2-2
Head to head
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  NK Varazdin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  NK Osijek | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  HNK Rijeka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 |  Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica: FAQ
What is the HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK Gorica.
Who is the favourite to win HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
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HNK Hajduk Split are favourites. Our model gives HNK Hajduk Split a 44% chance of winning, HNK Gorica 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica kick off?
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HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Stadion Poljud, Split.
