HNL· Regular Season - 11· Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb24 Oct
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5HNK Gorica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| AH2 +1.5NK Lokomotiva Zagreb +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XHNK Gorica or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 1HNK Gorica to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH1 -1.5HNK Gorica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5NK Lokomotiva Zagreb -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.63 | - |
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb preview & analysis
Match preview
HNK Gorica host NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the HNL (Regular Season - 11) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
HNK Gorica arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Rudes 1-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 5 points from 9 games. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to NK Varazdin 0-1 at home. They're 8th in the table with 7 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, HNK Gorica have won 2, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes HNK Gorica narrow favourites: HNK Gorica 38%, draw 32%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is HNK Gorica 1-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Recent form
HNK Gorica- 9 OctHRudes1-2
- 2 OctHBravo3-3
- 28 SeptAMaribor1-1
- 19 SeptAIstra 19611-0
- 14 SeptHNK Varazdin2-2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb- 11 OctHNK Varazdin0-1
- 20 SeptADinamo Zagreb2-3
- 12 SeptHHNK Rijeka1-1
- 9 SeptATomislav2-0
- 6 SeptANK Slaven Belupo1-2
Head to head
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  NK Varazdin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  NK Osijek | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  HNK Rijeka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 |  Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: FAQ
What is the HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Who is the favourite to win HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
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HNK Gorica are favourites. Our model gives HNK Gorica a 38% chance of winning, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
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We rate both teams to score at 44%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb kick off?
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HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica.
