Eredivisie· Regular Season - 5· Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar2-3
FT
Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5AZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2AZ Alkmaar or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Heerenveen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.59 | - |
| 1XHeerenveen or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| 2AZ Alkmaar to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AZ Alkmaar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.69 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| 1Heerenveen to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Heerenveen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.23 | - |
Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar preview & analysis
Match preview
Heerenveen host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 5) at Abe Lenstra Stadion on Sunday, 6 September 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Heerenveen arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Willem II 2-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 9 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Heerenveen have won 2, AZ Alkmaar have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 5.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AZ Alkmaar narrow favourites: Heerenveen 17%, draw 41%, AZ Alkmaar 42%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.2 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 67% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Heerenveen- 30 AugAWillem II2-2
- 22 AugHPEC Zwolle0-2
AZ AlkmaarHead to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?
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AZ Alkmaar are favourites. Our model gives Heerenveen a 17% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar kick off?
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Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen.
