Liga MX· Clausura - Semi-finals· Estadio Jalisco
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul1-2
FT
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Cruz Azul +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Cruz Azul or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XGuadalajara Chivas or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| 2Cruz Azul to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cruz Azul -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.94 | - |
| 1Guadalajara Chivas to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.88 | - |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul preview & analysis
Match preview
Guadalajara Chivas host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX (Clausura - Semi-finals) at Estadio Jalisco on Sunday, 17 May 2026, with kick-off at 01:07 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0, Cruz Azul have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cruz Azul narrow favourites: Guadalajara Chivas 23%, draw 38%, Cruz Azul 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | +17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 33 |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 31 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 25 |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 25 |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -18 | 12 |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
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Cruz Azul are favourites. Our model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 23% chance of winning, Cruz Azul 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul kick off?
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Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul kicks off at 01:07 UTC on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
