Eredivisie· Regular Season - 13· Euroborg
Groningen
Heerenveen21 Nov
Groningen vs Heerenveen Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 21 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
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More Groningen vs Heerenveen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Groningen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XGroningen or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Heerenveen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Heerenveen or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1Groningen to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Groningen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| 2Heerenveen to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Heerenveen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.07 | - |
Groningen vs Heerenveen preview & analysis
Match preview
Groningen host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 13) at Euroborg on Saturday, 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Groningen arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Excelsior 5-1 away. They're 6th in the table with 14 points from 8 games. Heerenveen arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to PSV Eindhoven 0-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 9 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Groningen have won 3, Heerenveen have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Groningen narrow favourites: Groningen 44%, draw 38%, Heerenveen 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Groningen 2-1 Heerenveen.
Recent form
Groningen- 11 OctAExcelsior5-1
- 18 SeptHPEC Zwolle3-0
- 12 SeptAGO Ahead Eagles1-1
- 6 SeptHTwente2-2
- 28 AugHFortuna Sittard2-3
Heerenveen- 9 OctAPSV Eindhoven0-2
- 19 SeptASparta Rotterdam4-0
- 13 SeptHTelstar0-0
- 6 SeptHAZ Alkmaar2-3
- 30 AugAWillem II2-2
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Groningen vs Heerenveen: FAQ
What is the Groningen vs Heerenveen prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Groningen 2-1 Heerenveen.
Who is the favourite to win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
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Groningen are favourites. Our model gives Groningen a 44% chance of winning, Heerenveen 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Groningen vs Heerenveen?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Groningen vs Heerenveen kick off?
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Groningen vs Heerenveen kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at Euroborg, Groningen.
