Brasileirão· Regular Season - 17· Arena do Grêmio
Gremio
Santos3-2
FT
Gremio vs Santos Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 23 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Gremio vs Santos tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Gremio +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XGremio or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Santos or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Gremio to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Gremio -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Santos to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
Gremio vs Santos preview & analysis
Match preview
Gremio host Santos in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 17) at Arena do Grêmio on Saturday, 23 May 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Gremio have won 2, Santos have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Gremio narrow favourites: Gremio 44%, draw 38%, Santos 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Gremio vs Santos: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Gremio vs Santos?
+
Gremio are favourites. Our model gives Gremio a 44% chance of winning, Santos 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Gremio vs Santos?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Gremio vs Santos kick off?
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Gremio vs Santos kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Saturday, 23 May 2026 at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre.
