Veikkausliiga· Championship Group - 25· Mustapekka Areena
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki1-1
FT
Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 18 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5HJK Helsinki +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2HJK Helsinki or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Gnistan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.40 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| 1XGnistan or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2HJK Helsinki to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH2 -1.5HJK Helsinki -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.53 | - |
| 1Gnistan to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Gnistan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.10 | - |
Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki preview & analysis
Match preview
Gnistan host HJK Helsinki in the Veikkausliiga (Championship Group - 25) at Mustapekka Areena on Friday, 18 September 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Gnistan arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat AC Oulu 2-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 36 points from 22 games. HJK Helsinki arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with KuPS 0-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 37 points from 22 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Gnistan have won 2, HJK Helsinki have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes HJK Helsinki narrow favourites: Gnistan 23%, draw 38%, HJK Helsinki 39%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Gnistan- 12 SeptAAC Oulu2-1
- 8 SeptHKuPS1-1
- 31 AugHTurku PS1-1
HJK Helsinki- 13 SeptAKuPS0-0
- 9 SeptHInter Turku2-1
- 5 SeptAInter Turku0-1
Head to head
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki?
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HJK Helsinki are favourites. Our model gives Gnistan a 23% chance of winning, HJK Helsinki 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki kick off?
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Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Friday, 18 September 2026 at Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki.
