Ligue 1· Regular Season - 5· Stade Louis II
Monaco
Lens2-1
FT
Monaco vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 18 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Monaco vs Lens tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Monaco +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMonaco or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Lens +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Lens or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Monaco to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Monaco -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Lens to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lens -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Monaco vs Lens preview & analysis
Match preview
Monaco host Lens in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 5) at Stade Louis II on Friday, 18 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monaco arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Strasbourg 1-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 14 points from 6 games. Lens arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Le Mans 2-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 7 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Monaco have won 2, Lens have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Monaco narrow favourites: Monaco 44%, draw 38%, Lens 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Monaco- 12 SeptAStrasbourg1-1
- 4 SeptAParis Saint Germain2-1
- 30 AugHMarseille2-0
Lens- 13 SeptALe Mans2-2
- 10 SeptASlavia Praha3-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Monaco vs Lens: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Monaco vs Lens?
+
Monaco are favourites. Our model gives Monaco a 44% chance of winning, Lens 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs Lens?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Monaco vs Lens kick off?
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Monaco vs Lens kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 18 September 2026 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.
