Liga Profesional· Clausura - 14· Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin23 Oct
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 23 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
1.6 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Gimnasia L.P. +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| 1XGimnasia L.P. or Draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| AH2 +1.5Sarmiento Junin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.88 | 1.74 |
| 1Gimnasia L.P. to win | 51% | 1.95 | 1.81 |
| X2Sarmiento Junin or Draw | 49% | 2.05 | 1.98 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | 2.17 |
| AH1 -1.5Gimnasia L.P. -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.13 | 3.43 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.30 | 3.49 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.18 | 3.68 |
| 2Sarmiento Junin to win | 19% | 5.40 | 4.70 |
| AH2 -1.5Sarmiento Junin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.44 | 9.70 |
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.50 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.49 | 4.70 | 2.17 | 1.69 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.35 | 4.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.75 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.42 | 4.60 | 2.14 | 1.66 | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.20 | 1.60 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.75 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.40 | 4.85 | 2.22 | 1.70 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin preview & analysis
Match preview
Gimnasia L.P. host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 14) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo on Friday, 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Gimnasia L.P. arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Huracan 2-1 away. They're 6th in the table with 26 points from 16 games. Sarmiento Junin arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with River Plate 1-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 19 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Gimnasia L.P. have won 2, Sarmiento Junin have won 0 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Gimnasia L.P. favourites: Gimnasia L.P. 51%, draw 30%, Sarmiento Junin 19%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.69, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Gimnasia L.P. 1-0 Sarmiento Junin.
Recent form
Gimnasia L.P.- 16 OctAHuracan2-1
- 9 OctHAtletico Tucuman1-1
- 3 OctAIndepend. Rivadavia1-1
- 19 SeptHBanfield2-2
- 13 SeptAArgentinos JRS1-1
Sarmiento Junin- 14 OctHRiver Plate1-1
- 9 OctAAldosivi3-1
- 19 SeptARacing Club1-3
- 13 SeptHBelgrano Cordoba1-1
- 4 SeptAEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto2-0
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin: FAQ
What is the Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.69. Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1-0 Sarmiento Junin.
Who is the favourite to win Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
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Gimnasia L.P. are favourites. Our model gives Gimnasia L.P. a 51% chance of winning, Sarmiento Junin 19%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin kick off?
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Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata.
