Bundesliga· Regular Season - 33· Mewa Arena
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin1-3
FT
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 10 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FSV Mainz 05 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.18 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Union Berlin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| 1XFSV Mainz 05 or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| X2Union Berlin or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 1FSV Mainz 05 to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Union Berlin to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FSV Mainz 05 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.22 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Union Berlin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.45 | - |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin preview & analysis
Match preview
FSV Mainz 05 host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 33) at Mewa Arena on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0, Union Berlin have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FSV Mainz 05 narrow favourites: FSV Mainz 05 38%, draw 32%, Union Berlin 30%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.8 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 73 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 61 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 38 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?
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FSV Mainz 05 are favourites. Our model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 38% chance of winning, Union Berlin 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin kick off?
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FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.
