Brasileirão· Regular Season - 16· Estádio do Maracanã
Fluminense
Sao Paulo2-1
FT
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Fluminense vs Sao Paulo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Fluminense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XFluminense or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sao Paulo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| X2Sao Paulo or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Fluminense to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Fluminense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 2Sao Paulo to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sao Paulo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.51 | - |
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo preview & analysis
Match preview
Fluminense host Sao Paulo in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 16) at Estádio do Maracanã on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fluminense have won 3, Sao Paulo have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fluminense narrow favourites: Fluminense 44%, draw 38%, Sao Paulo 18%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?
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Fluminense are favourites. Our model gives Fluminense a 44% chance of winning, Sao Paulo 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Fluminense vs Sao Paulo kick off?
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Fluminense vs Sao Paulo kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
