Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Kick-off 01:30

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

Add to My Teams

Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.

Fan vote

Voting closed at kick-off

Who will win?

Votes: 0

✓ Our model got it right

How many goals?

Votes: 0

✕ Our model got it wrong

Match probabilities

33%Fluminense

33%Draw

35%Palmeiras

Over 2.5 goals36%

Under 2.5 goals64%

Both teams to score45%

Clean sheet either side55%

More Fluminense vs Palmeiras tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH2 +1.5Palmeiras +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	87%	1.15	1.06
AH1 +1.5Fluminense +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	85%	1.17	1.08
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	82%	1.22	1.13
X2Palmeiras or Draw	67%	1.48	1.41
1XFluminense or Draw	65%	1.53	1.46
U2.5Under 2.5 goals	64%	1.57	1.56
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	55%	1.83	1.73
BTTS YesBoth teams to score	45%	2.21	2.01
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	36%	2.74	2.50
2Palmeiras to win	35%	2.89	2.75
XDraw	33%	3.05	3.05
1Fluminense to win	33%	3.06	2.95
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	18%	5.49	4.50
AH2 -1.5Palmeiras -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	15%	6.81	5.55
AH1 -1.5Fluminense -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	13%	7.55	6.15

Fluminense vs Palmeiras odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker	1	X	2	O2.5	U2.5	BTTS	No BTTS
William Hill	2.90	2.70	2.62	-	-	2.00	1.73
1xBet	2.95	2.95	2.75	2.50	1.56	2.01	1.72
Dafabet	2.85	3.05	2.75	-	-	-	-
Bet365	2.88	3.10	2.62	2.60	1.48	2.10	1.67
Marathonbet	2.86	2.86	2.66	2.35	1.47	2.01	1.70
Betfair	2.88	2.75	2.70	2.70	1.44	2.10	1.73
BetVictor	2.90	2.88	2.75	2.44	1.47	2.05	1.67
Pinnacle	3.11	2.74	2.85	2.81	1.46	-	-
SBO	2.64	2.81	2.52	-	-	-	-
Betano	3.00	3.00	2.82	2.70	1.50	2.12	1.67

Fluminense vs Palmeiras preview & analysis

Match preview

Fluminense host Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores (Semi-finals) at Estádio do Maracanã on Thursday, 15 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Fluminense are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Flamengo 0-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 8 points from 6 games. Palmeiras arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Corinthians 4-1 at home.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fluminense have won 3, Palmeiras have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Palmeiras narrow favourites: Fluminense 33%, draw 33%, Palmeiras 35%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 36% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.