Brasileirão· Regular Season - 36· Estádio do Maracanã
Fluminense
Mirassol22 Nov
Fluminense vs Mirassol Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Fluminense vs Mirassol tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Mirassol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Mirassol or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Fluminense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XFluminense or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Mirassol to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Mirassol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Fluminense to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Fluminense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Fluminense vs Mirassol preview & analysis
Match preview
Fluminense host Mirassol in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 36) at Estádio do Maracanã on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fluminense are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 51 points from 30 games. Mirassol arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Internacional 2-0 at home. They're 15th in the table with 33 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Fluminense have won 1, Mirassol have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Mirassol narrow favourites: Fluminense 23%, draw 38%, Mirassol 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Fluminense 0-1 Mirassol.
Recent form
Fluminense- 15 OctHPalmeiras1-2
- 11 OctAFlamengo0-1
- 9 OctHCoritiba4-0
- 20 SeptACorinthians3-1
- 15 SeptAPlatense1-2
Mirassol- 17 OctHInternacional2-0
- 11 OctABahia0-1
- 7 OctARB Bragantino1-1
- 27 SeptAUberlandia4-0
- 19 SeptHBotafogo2-0
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Fluminense vs Mirassol: FAQ
What is the Fluminense vs Mirassol prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Fluminense 0-1 Mirassol.
Who is the favourite to win Fluminense vs Mirassol?
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Mirassol are favourites. Our model gives Fluminense a 23% chance of winning, Mirassol 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Mirassol?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Fluminense vs Mirassol kick off?
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Fluminense vs Mirassol kicks off at 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
