Copa Libertadores· Quarter-finals· Estádio do Maracanã
Flamengo
Independiente del Valle1-1
FT
Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 18 September 2026 · Kick-off
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XFlamengo or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Independiente del Valle +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| X2Independiente del Valle or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| 1Flamengo to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| 2Independiente del Valle to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Independiente del Valle -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.62 | - |
Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle preview & analysis
Match preview
Flamengo host Independiente del Valle in the Copa Libertadores (Quarter-finals) at Estádio do Maracanã on Friday, 18 September 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Corinthians 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 16 points from 6 games. Independiente del Valle arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Libertad 3-2 away.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Flamengo have won 4, Independiente del Valle have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo narrow favourites: Flamengo 44%, draw 38%, Independiente del Valle 18%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.5 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Flamengo- 13 SeptHCorinthians2-1
- 11 SeptAIndependiente del Valle2-0
Independiente del Valle- 14 SeptALibertad3-2
- 11 SeptHFlamengo0-2
Head to head
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
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Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Flamengo a 44% chance of winning, Independiente del Valle 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle kick off?
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Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Friday, 18 September 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
