Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction & Betting Tips

Friday, 23 October 2026 · Kick-off 01:30

Our prediction

Under 2.5 goals

High· 76%

1xBetBet

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

1-0

Fair odds

1.32

Expected goals

1.1 - 0.6

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Match probabilities

44%Flamengo

38%Draw

18%Estudiantes L.P.

Over 2.5 goals24%

Under 2.5 goals76%

Both teams to score30%

Clean sheet either side70%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH1 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	95%	1.06	-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	91%	1.10	-
1XFlamengo or Draw	82%	1.23	-
AH2 +1.5Estudiantes L.P. +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	80%	1.24	-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	70%	1.44	-
X2Estudiantes L.P. or Draw	56%	1.78	-
1Flamengo to win	44%	2.28	-
XDraw	38%	2.65	-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score	30%	3.29	-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	24%	4.12	-
AH1 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	20%	5.12	-
2Estudiantes L.P. to win	18%	5.43	-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	9%	10.73	-
AH2 -1.5Estudiantes L.P. -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	5%	19.17	-

Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. preview & analysis

Match preview

Flamengo host Estudiantes L.P. in the Copa Libertadores (Semi-finals) at Estádio do Maracanã on Friday, 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 16 points from 6 games. Estudiantes L.P. arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Flamengo 0-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 9 points from 6 games.

Head to head

In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Flamengo have won 2, Estudiantes L.P. have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.4 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Flamengo narrow favourites: Flamengo 44%, draw 38%, Estudiantes L.P. 18%. We expect around 1.7 goals (1.1 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 24% for over 2.5 and 30% for both teams to score.

Our tip

This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 76% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P..