Brasileirão· Regular Season - 32· Estádio do Maracanã
Flamengo
Atletico-MG26 Oct
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 26 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Flamengo vs Atletico-MG tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XFlamengo or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Atletico-MG +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Atletico-MG or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Flamengo to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Atletico-MG to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico-MG -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG preview & analysis
Match preview
Flamengo host Atletico-MG in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 32) at Estádio do Maracanã on Monday, 26 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Fluminense 1-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 64 points from 30 games. Atletico-MG arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Atletico Torque 3-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 47 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Flamengo have won 3, Atletico-MG have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo narrow favourites: Flamengo 44%, draw 38%, Atletico-MG 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Flamengo 1-0 Atletico-MG.
Recent form
Flamengo- 11 OctHFluminense1-0
- 8 OctASantos2-2
- 20 SeptHRB Bragantino2-1
- 18 SeptHIndependiente del Valle1-1
- 13 SeptHCorinthians2-1
Atletico-MG- 14 OctHAtletico Torque3-0
- 11 OctHSantos2-1
- 9 OctAAtletico Paranaense2-2
- 3 OctHRB Bragantino1-0
- 19 SeptHChapecoense-sc1-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG: FAQ
What is the Flamengo vs Atletico-MG prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Flamengo 1-0 Atletico-MG.
Who is the favourite to win Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
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Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Flamengo a 44% chance of winning, Atletico-MG 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Flamengo vs Atletico-MG kick off?
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Flamengo vs Atletico-MG kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
