Brasileirão· Regular Season - 32· Estádio Couto Pereira
Coritiba
Gremio26 Oct
Coritiba vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 26 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
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More Coritiba vs Gremio tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Gremio +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Gremio or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Coritiba +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XCoritiba or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Gremio to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gremio -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.45 | - |
| 1Coritiba to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Coritiba -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.94 | - |
Coritiba vs Gremio preview & analysis
Match preview
Coritiba host Gremio in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 32) at Estádio Couto Pereira on Monday, 26 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Coritiba are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Most recently they drew with Botafogo 1-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 39 points from 30 games. Gremio arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Internacional 1-1 at home. They're 18th in the table with 31 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Coritiba have won 0, Gremio have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Gremio narrow favourites: Coritiba 23%, draw 38%, Gremio 39%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Coritiba 1-2 Gremio.
Recent form
Coritiba- 12 OctHBotafogo1-1
- 9 OctAFluminense0-4
- 20 SeptAVasco DA Gama0-5
- 12 SeptHAtletico Paranaense3-3
- 6 SeptHMirassol1-2
Gremio- 11 OctHInternacional1-1
- 7 OctARemo1-1
- 20 SeptHPalmeiras0-0
- 16 SeptABotafogo2-3
- 12 SeptHVasco DA Gama1-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Coritiba vs Gremio: FAQ
What is the Coritiba vs Gremio prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Coritiba 1-2 Gremio.
Who is the favourite to win Coritiba vs Gremio?
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Gremio are favourites. Our model gives Coritiba a 23% chance of winning, Gremio 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Coritiba vs Gremio?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Coritiba vs Gremio kick off?
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Coritiba vs Gremio kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba.
