Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 3· Estádio do Dragão
FC Porto
Arouca2-0
FT
FC Porto vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 23 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Porto vs Arouca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Porto +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XFC Porto or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Arouca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| X2Arouca or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1FC Porto to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Porto -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.64 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.21 | - |
| 2Arouca to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Arouca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.00 | - |
FC Porto vs Arouca preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Porto host Arouca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 3) at Estádio do Dragão on Sunday, 23 August 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Porto have won 4, Arouca have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Porto narrow favourites: FC Porto 44%, draw 38%, Arouca 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.3 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 69% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
FC Porto vs Arouca: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win FC Porto vs Arouca?
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FC Porto are favourites. Our model gives FC Porto a 44% chance of winning, Arouca 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Arouca?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Porto vs Arouca kick off?
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FC Porto vs Arouca kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.
