La Liga· Regular Season - 2· Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal2-2
FT
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 23 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XAtletico Madrid or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.53 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Villarreal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.62 | - |
| X2Villarreal or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 | - |
| 1Atletico Madrid to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.62 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.89 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 2Villarreal to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Villarreal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.94 | - |
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Madrid host Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 2) at Metropolitano Stadium on Sunday, 23 August 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico Madrid have won 3, Villarreal have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: Atletico Madrid 44%, draw 38%, Villarreal 18%. We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 70% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
+
Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 44% chance of winning, Villarreal 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
+
We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal kick off?
+
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.
