Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 11· Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Famalicao
Arouca6 Nov
Famalicao vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 6 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Famalicao vs Arouca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Famalicao +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XFamalicao or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Arouca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Arouca or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Famalicao to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Famalicao -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Arouca to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Arouca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Famalicao vs Arouca preview & analysis
Match preview
Famalicao host Arouca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 11) at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao on Friday, 6 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Famalicao arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Alverca 1-4 at home. They're 13th in the table with 7 points from 8 games. Arouca arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Estrela 1-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 14 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Famalicao have won 2, Arouca have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Famalicao narrow favourites: Famalicao 44%, draw 38%, Arouca 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Famalicao 1-0 Arouca.
Recent form
Famalicao- 12 OctHAlverca1-4
- 19 SeptANacional4-0
- 13 SeptHSporting CP1-1
- 5 SeptAEstrela2-2
- 30 AugHGIL Vicente0-0
Arouca- 11 OctHEstrela1-0
- 19 SeptASporting CP2-2
- 13 SeptHSanta Clara1-2
- 7 SeptAEstoril0-0
- 29 AugHMaritimo2-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Famalicao vs Arouca: FAQ
What is the Famalicao vs Arouca prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Famalicao 1-0 Arouca.
Who is the favourite to win Famalicao vs Arouca?
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Famalicao are favourites. Our model gives Famalicao a 44% chance of winning, Arouca 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Famalicao vs Arouca?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Famalicao vs Arouca kick off?
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Famalicao vs Arouca kicks off at 20:45 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao.
