Eredivisie· Regular Season - 14· Stadion Woudestein
Excelsior
Telstar28 Nov
Excelsior vs Telstar Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Excelsior vs Telstar tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Excelsior +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XExcelsior or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Telstar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Telstar or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Excelsior to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Excelsior -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Telstar to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Telstar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Excelsior vs Telstar preview & analysis
Match preview
Excelsior host Telstar in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 14) at Stadion Woudestein on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Excelsior arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Groningen 1-5 at home. They're 9th in the table with 11 points from 8 games. Telstar arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with ADO Den Haag 2-2 at home. They're 15th in the table with 6 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Excelsior have won 3, Telstar have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 4.8 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Excelsior narrow favourites: Excelsior 44%, draw 38%, Telstar 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Excelsior 2-1 Telstar.
Recent form
Excelsior- 11 OctHGroningen1-5
- 19 SeptAAjax2-2
- 13 SeptHUtrecht1-2
- 8 SeptANEC Nijmegen2-2
- 5 SeptAWillem II3-0
Telstar- 11 OctHADO Den Haag2-2
- 20 SeptAAZ Alkmaar0-1
- 13 SeptAHeerenveen0-0
- 9 SeptATwente0-1
- 6 SeptHCambuur2-2
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Excelsior vs Telstar: FAQ
What is the Excelsior vs Telstar prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Excelsior 2-1 Telstar.
Who is the favourite to win Excelsior vs Telstar?
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Excelsior are favourites. Our model gives Excelsior a 44% chance of winning, Telstar 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Excelsior vs Telstar?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Excelsior vs Telstar kick off?
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Excelsior vs Telstar kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026 at Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam.
