Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 31· Estádio José Gomes
Estrela
FC Porto1-2
FT
Estrela vs FC Porto Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 26 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Estrela vs FC Porto tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FC Porto +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| X2FC Porto or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| 1XEstrela or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.96 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.04 | - |
| 2FC Porto to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FC Porto -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 1Estrela to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.72 | - |
Estrela vs FC Porto preview & analysis
Match preview
Estrela host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 31) at Estádio José Gomes on Sunday, 26 April 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Estrela have won 1, FC Porto have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Porto narrow favourites: Estrela 17%, draw 41%, FC Porto 42%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.0 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 | 88 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +28 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 42 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -22 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 | 21 |
Estrela vs FC Porto: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Estrela vs FC Porto?
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FC Porto are favourites. Our model gives Estrela a 17% chance of winning, FC Porto 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Estrela vs FC Porto?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Estrela vs FC Porto kick off?
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Estrela vs FC Porto kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 26 April 2026 at Estádio José Gomes, Amadora.
