Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 11
Estrela
Benfica8 Nov
Estrela vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.2 - 2.1
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Estrela vs Benfica tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Benfica or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| 1XEstrela or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| 2Benfica to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| 1Estrela to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.45 | - |
Estrela vs Benfica preview & analysis
Match preview
Estrela host Benfica in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Estrela arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Arouca 0-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 10 points from 8 games. Benfica arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Celtic 4-1 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Estrela have won 0, Benfica have won 6 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benfica narrow favourites: Estrela 17%, draw 41%, Benfica 42%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.2 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Estrela 1-2 Benfica.
Recent form
Estrela- 11 OctAArouca0-1
- 20 SeptHAcademico Viseu0-2
- 14 SeptARio Ave3-3
- 10 SeptHSC Braga2-1
- 5 SeptHFamalicao2-2
Benfica- 15 OctHCeltic4-1
- 11 OctHVitória SC2-0
- 20 SeptAFC Porto1-3
- 16 SeptAAC Milan2-0
- 13 SeptHGIL Vicente3-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Estrela vs Benfica: FAQ
What is the Estrela vs Benfica prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Estrela 1-2 Benfica.
Who is the favourite to win Estrela vs Benfica?
+
Benfica are favourites. Our model gives Estrela a 17% chance of winning, Benfica 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Estrela vs Benfica?
+
We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Estrela vs Benfica kick off?
+
Estrela vs Benfica kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
