Nations League· League C - 4· A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia
Iceland0-0
FT
Estonia vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 6 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Estonia vs Iceland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Iceland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Estonia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | - |
| X2Iceland or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| 1XEstonia or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Iceland to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.71 | - |
| 1Estonia to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Iceland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.76 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 9.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Estonia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.58 | - |
Estonia vs Iceland preview & analysis
Match preview
Estonia host Iceland in the Nations League (League C - 4) at A. Le Coq Arena on Tuesday, 6 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Estonia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Luxembourg 1-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 6 points from 4 games. Iceland arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Bulgaria 3-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Estonia have won 0, Iceland have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Iceland narrow favourites: Estonia 23%, draw 38%, Iceland 39%. We expect around 1.8 goals (0.7 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 27% for over 2.5 and 34% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Estonia- 3 OctHLuxembourg1-0
- 29 SeptABulgaria0-0
- 26 SeptAIceland1-1
- 9 JunHLithuania1-0
- 6 JunHFaroe Islands1-0
Iceland- 3 OctHBulgaria3-0
- 29 SeptALuxembourg3-0
- 26 SeptHEstonia1-1
- 10 JunAArgentina0-3
- 31 MayAJapan0-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Estonia vs Iceland: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Estonia vs Iceland?
+
Iceland are favourites. Our model gives Estonia a 23% chance of winning, Iceland 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Estonia vs Iceland?
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We rate both teams to score at 34%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Estonia vs Iceland kick off?
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Estonia vs Iceland kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn.
