Empoli
Vicenza Virtus23 Oct
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 23 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Empoli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XEmpoli or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Vicenza Virtus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Vicenza Virtus or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Empoli to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Empoli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Vicenza Virtus to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Vicenza Virtus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus preview & analysis
Match preview
Empoli host Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B (Regular Season - 8) at Stadio Carlo Castellani on Friday, 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Empoli are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Palermo 2-4 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games. Vicenza Virtus are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Pisa 0-3 at home. They're 16th in the table with 5 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Empoli have won 3, Vicenza Virtus have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Empoli narrow favourites: Empoli 44%, draw 38%, Vicenza Virtus 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Empoli 2-1 Vicenza Virtus.
Recent form
- 10 OctHPalermo2-4
- 20 SeptAModena1-2
- 11 SeptHArezzo0-1
- 5 SeptACarrarese1-0
- 30 AugAMantova1-3
- 10 OctHPisa0-3
- 3 OctAKoper1-2
- 20 SeptAHellas Verona1-2
- 12 SeptHJuve Stabia1-1
- 6 SeptAVirtus Entella2-2
Head to head
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 | |
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 | |
| 20 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: FAQ
What is the Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Empoli 2-1 Vicenza Virtus.
Who is the favourite to win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
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Empoli are favourites. Our model gives Empoli a 44% chance of winning, Vicenza Virtus 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus kick off?
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Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus kicks off at 18:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli.