Championship· Regular Season - 14· Pride Park
Derby
Norwich3 Nov
Derby vs Norwich Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Derby vs Norwich tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Norwich +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Norwich or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| 1XDerby or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 2Norwich to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.86 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Norwich -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 1Derby to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.67 | - |
Derby vs Norwich preview & analysis
Match preview
Derby host Norwich in the Championship (Regular Season - 14) at Pride Park on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Derby are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to QPR 1-4 away. They're 23rd in the table with 6 points from 10 games. Norwich are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Most recently they lost to Southampton 0-1 at home. They're 20th in the table with 9 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Derby have won 2, Norwich have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Norwich narrow favourites: Derby 23%, draw 38%, Norwich 39%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.4 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Derby 1-2 Norwich.
Recent form
Derby- 14 OctAQPR1-4
- 10 OctHWrexham1-1
- 19 SeptABurnley1-1
- 12 SeptHBirmingham1-2
- 9 SeptHWest Brom0-1
Norwich- 14 OctHSouthampton0-1
- 10 OctASwansea1-2
- 20 SeptHBolton3-4
- 17 SeptAManchester City0-5
- 12 SeptAMiddlesbrough3-4
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Derby vs Norwich: FAQ
What is the Derby vs Norwich prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Derby 1-2 Norwich.
Who is the favourite to win Derby vs Norwich?
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Norwich are favourites. Our model gives Derby a 23% chance of winning, Norwich 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Norwich?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Derby vs Norwich kick off?
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Derby vs Norwich kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at Pride Park, Derby.
