Liga MX· Apertura - 15· Estadio Banorte
Cruz Azul
Leon2 Nov
Cruz Azul vs Leon Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 2 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cruz Azul vs Leon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Cruz Azul +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XCruz Azul or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Leon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Leon or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 1Cruz Azul to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cruz Azul -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| 2Leon to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Leon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.20 | - |
Cruz Azul vs Leon preview & analysis
Match preview
Cruz Azul host Leon in the Liga MX (Apertura - 15) at Estadio Banorte on Monday, 2 November 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Cruz Azul arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 away. They're 7th in the table with 17 points from 11 games. Leon arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Puebla 1-1 away. They're 5th in the table with 18 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cruz Azul have won 5, Leon have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cruz Azul narrow favourites: Cruz Azul 44%, draw 38%, Leon 18%. We expect around 3.4 goals (2.2 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 2-1 Leon.
Recent form
Cruz Azul- 12 OctAU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-3
- 2 OctAClub America0-0
- 26 SeptHToluca3-3
- 20 SeptAMonterrey0-1
- 17 SeptAInter Miami0-2
Leon- 10 OctAPuebla1-1
- 28 SeptHFC Juarez2-1
- 21 SeptAClub Queretaro1-1
- 15 SeptHAtletico San Luis2-0
- 11 SeptAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Cruz Azul vs Leon: FAQ
What is the Cruz Azul vs Leon prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2-1 Leon.
Who is the favourite to win Cruz Azul vs Leon?
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Cruz Azul are favourites. Our model gives Cruz Azul a 44% chance of winning, Leon 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cruz Azul vs Leon?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Cruz Azul vs Leon kick off?
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Cruz Azul vs Leon kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
