Sassuolo
Fiorentina2 Nov
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 2 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sassuolo vs Fiorentina tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sassuolo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XSassuolo or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Fiorentina or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 1Sassuolo to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sassuolo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| 2Fiorentina to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fiorentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.20 | - |
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina preview & analysis
Match preview
Sassuolo host Fiorentina in the Serie A (Regular Season - 10) on Monday, 2 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sassuolo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with AC Milan 1-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 6 games. Fiorentina arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Genoa 1-2 away. They're 19th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sassuolo have won 2, Fiorentina have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sassuolo narrow favourites: Sassuolo 44%, draw 38%, Fiorentina 18%. We expect around 3.4 goals (2.2 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sassuolo 2-1 Fiorentina.
Recent form
- 11 OctHAC Milan1-1
- 18 SeptAMonza1-2
- 13 SeptHJuventus3-2
- 6 SeptABologna2-2
- 2 SeptHFrosinone1-1
- 10 OctAGenoa1-2
- 20 SeptHNapoli1-1
- 15 SeptHPisa3-0
- 11 SeptAVenezia4-2
- 5 SeptHTorino1-2
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: FAQ
What is the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sassuolo 2-1 Fiorentina.
Who is the favourite to win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
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Sassuolo are favourites. Our model gives Sassuolo a 44% chance of winning, Fiorentina 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sassuolo vs Fiorentina kick off?
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Sassuolo vs Fiorentina kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026.