Liga MX· Clausura - Semi-finals· Estadio Banorte
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas2-2
FT
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 14 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Cruz Azul +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XCruz Azul or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Guadalajara Chivas or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Cruz Azul to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cruz Azul -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Guadalajara Chivas to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas preview & analysis
Match preview
Cruz Azul host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX (Clausura - Semi-finals) at Estadio Banorte on Thursday, 14 May 2026, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cruz Azul have won 5, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cruz Azul narrow favourites: Cruz Azul 44%, draw 38%, Guadalajara Chivas 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | +17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 33 |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 31 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 25 |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 25 |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -18 | 12 |
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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Cruz Azul are favourites. Our model gives Cruz Azul a 44% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas kick off?
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Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas kicks off at 02:00 UTC on Thursday, 14 May 2026 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
