La Liga· Regular Season - 36· Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano1-1
FT
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 14 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Valencia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Rayo Vallecano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| 1XValencia or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Rayo Vallecano or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 54% | 1.87 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.15 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 1Valencia to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Rayo Vallecano to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Valencia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.60 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Rayo Vallecano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.31 | - |
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano preview & analysis
Match preview
Valencia host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (Regular Season - 36) at Estadio de Mestalla on Thursday, 14 May 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Valencia have won 1, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Valencia narrow favourites: Valencia 38%, draw 32%, Rayo Vallecano 30%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 54 |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 49 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 46 |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 | 45 |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -14 | 42 |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 42 |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 | 29 |
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?
+
Valencia are favourites. Our model gives Valencia a 38% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?
+
We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
+
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 14 May 2026 at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.