League Two· Regular Season - 17· Alexandra Stadium
Crewe
Grimsby28 Nov
Crewe vs Grimsby Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Crewe vs Grimsby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Crewe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XCrewe or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Grimsby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Grimsby or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Crewe to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Crewe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Grimsby to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Grimsby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
Crewe vs Grimsby preview & analysis
Match preview
Crewe host Grimsby in the League Two (Regular Season - 17) at Alexandra Stadium on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Crewe arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Swindon Town 1-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 18 points from 10 games. Grimsby are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Port Vale 0-1 away. They're 11th in the table with 13 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Crewe have won 3, Grimsby have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Crewe narrow favourites: Crewe 44%, draw 38%, Grimsby 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Crewe 1-0 Grimsby.
Recent form
Crewe- 10 OctASwindon Town1-0
- 6 OctABlackpool2-2
- 3 OctHBristol Rovers3-1
- 26 SeptARotherham1-1
- 22 SeptHAston Villa U214-1
Grimsby- 10 OctAPort Vale0-1
- 6 OctHBurton Albion0-0
- 3 OctHShrewsbury1-2
- 26 SeptANewport County1-2
- 22 SeptANotts County1-2
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
Crewe vs Grimsby: FAQ
What is the Crewe vs Grimsby prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Crewe 1-0 Grimsby.
Who is the favourite to win Crewe vs Grimsby?
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Crewe are favourites. Our model gives Crewe a 44% chance of winning, Grimsby 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Crewe vs Grimsby?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Crewe vs Grimsby kick off?
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Crewe vs Grimsby kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026 at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe.
