Copa Libertadores· Group Stage - 3· Neo Quimica Arena
Corinthians
Penarol2-0
FT
Corinthians vs Penarol Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 1 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Corinthians vs Penarol tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Corinthians +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XCorinthians or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Penarol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| X2Penarol or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.17 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Corinthians to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Corinthians -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| 2Penarol to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Penarol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.22 | - |
Corinthians vs Penarol preview & analysis
Match preview
Corinthians host Penarol in the Copa Libertadores (Group Stage - 3) at Neo Quimica Arena on Friday, 1 May 2026, with kick-off at 00:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Corinthians have won 0, Penarol have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Corinthians narrow favourites: Corinthians 44%, draw 38%, Penarol 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 54% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 2 |  Platense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
Corinthians vs Penarol: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Corinthians vs Penarol?
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Corinthians are favourites. Our model gives Corinthians a 44% chance of winning, Penarol 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Penarol?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Corinthians vs Penarol kick off?
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Corinthians vs Penarol kicks off at 00:00 UTC on Friday, 1 May 2026 at Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo.
