Premier League· Regular Season - 35· Elland Road
Leeds
Burnley3-1
FT
Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 1 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Leeds vs Burnley tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Leeds +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XLeeds or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Burnley or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Leeds to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Leeds -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Burnley to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
Leeds vs Burnley preview & analysis
Match preview
Leeds host Burnley in the Premier League (Regular Season - 35) at Elland Road on Friday, 1 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Leeds have won 2, Burnley have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Leeds narrow favourites: Leeds 44%, draw 38%, Burnley 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Leeds vs Burnley: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Leeds vs Burnley?
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Leeds are favourites. Our model gives Leeds a 44% chance of winning, Burnley 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Burnley?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Leeds vs Burnley kick off?
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Leeds vs Burnley kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 1 May 2026 at Elland Road, Leeds.
