League Two· Semi-finals· SMH Group Stadium
Chesterfield
Notts County0-1
FT
Chesterfield vs Notts County Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 10 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Chesterfield vs Notts County tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Chesterfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XChesterfield or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Notts County +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Notts County or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Chesterfield to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Chesterfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Notts County to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Notts County -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Chesterfield vs Notts County preview & analysis
Match preview
Chesterfield host Notts County in the League Two (Semi-finals) at SMH Group Stadium on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chesterfield have won 3, Notts County have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chesterfield narrow favourites: Chesterfield 44%, draw 38%, Notts County 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | +25 | 87 |
| 2 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | +41 | 86 |
| 3 |  Cambridge United | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | +33 | 82 |
| 4 |  Salford City | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | +10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | +22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | +15 | 79 |
| 7 |  Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | +24 | 78 |
| 8 |  Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | +17 | 76 |
Chesterfield vs Notts County: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Chesterfield vs Notts County?
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Chesterfield are favourites. Our model gives Chesterfield a 44% chance of winning, Notts County 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Notts County?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Chesterfield vs Notts County kick off?
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Chesterfield vs Notts County kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield.
