FA Cup· Final· Wembley Stadium
Chelsea
Manchester City0-1
FT
Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Chelsea vs Manchester City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Manchester City or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Chelsea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XChelsea or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Manchester City to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Chelsea to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Chelsea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Chelsea vs Manchester City preview & analysis
Match preview
Chelsea host Manchester City in the FA Cup (Final) at Wembley Stadium on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chelsea have won 0, Manchester City have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Chelsea 23%, draw 38%, Manchester City 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Chelsea vs Manchester City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Chelsea vs Manchester City?
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Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Chelsea a 23% chance of winning, Manchester City 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Manchester City?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Chelsea vs Manchester City kick off?
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Chelsea vs Manchester City kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at Wembley Stadium, London.
