EFL Cup· Round of 32· Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Leeds6-3
FT
Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Chelsea vs Leeds tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Chelsea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XChelsea or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Leeds +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Leeds or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Chelsea to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Chelsea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.79 | - |
| 2Leeds to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Leeds -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.34 | - |
Chelsea vs Leeds preview & analysis
Match preview
Chelsea host Leeds in the EFL Cup (Round of 32) at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday, 9 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Chelsea arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Arsenal 1-2 away. Leeds arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Brighton 1-1 away.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chelsea have won 3, Leeds have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chelsea narrow favourites: Chelsea 44%, draw 38%, Leeds 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Chelsea- 6 SeptAArsenal1-2
- 30 AugHBrighton4-3
Leeds- 5 SeptABrighton1-1
- 30 AugHBrentford1-1
Head to head
Chelsea vs Leeds: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Chelsea vs Leeds?
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Chelsea are favourites. Our model gives Chelsea a 44% chance of winning, Leeds 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Leeds?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Chelsea vs Leeds kick off?
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Chelsea vs Leeds kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at Stamford Bridge, London.
