Championship· Regular Season - 1· The Valley
Charlton
Derby2-1
FT
Charlton vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 15 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Charlton vs Derby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Derby or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Charlton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XCharlton or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Derby to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.36 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 1Charlton to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Charlton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.02 | - |
Charlton vs Derby preview & analysis
Match preview
Charlton host Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 1) at The Valley on Saturday, 15 August 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Charlton have won 2, Derby have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Derby narrow favourites: Charlton 17%, draw 41%, Derby 42%. We expect around 2.6 goals (0.9 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Charlton vs Derby: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Charlton vs Derby?
+
Derby are favourites. Our model gives Charlton a 17% chance of winning, Derby 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Derby?
+
We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Charlton vs Derby kick off?
+
Charlton vs Derby kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 15 August 2026 at The Valley, London.
