Liga MX· Apertura - 11· Estadio Hidalgo
CF Pachuca
Necaxa3-3
FT
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 12 October 2026 · Kick-off
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More CF Pachuca vs Necaxa tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5CF Pachuca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| 1XCF Pachuca or Draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| AH2 +1.5Necaxa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 61% | 1.65 | 1.38 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | 1.63 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| 1CF Pachuca to win | 53% | 1.87 | 1.72 |
| X2Necaxa or Draw | 47% | 2.15 | 2.07 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.33 | 2.16 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 | 2.17 |
| AH1 -1.5CF Pachuca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 39% | 2.53 | 2.62 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 | 2.43 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| 2Necaxa to win | 19% | 5.23 | 4.60 |
| AH2 -1.5Necaxa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.95 | 8.90 |
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.00 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.84 | 4.49 | 1.63 | 2.17 | 1.62 | 2.16 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.84 | 4.50 | 1.63 | 2.17 | 1.62 | 2.13 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.60 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 4.12 | 4.61 | 1.68 | 2.28 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.52 | 4.00 | 1.63 | 2.26 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.05 | 4.75 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.62 | 2.22 |
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa preview & analysis
Match preview
CF Pachuca host Necaxa in the Liga MX (Apertura - 11) at Estadio Hidalgo on Monday, 12 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:10 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
CF Pachuca arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Santos Laguna 0-1 away. They're 11th in the table with 13 points from 11 games. Necaxa are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Club America 2-4 at home. They're 17th in the table with 9 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, CF Pachuca have won 5, Necaxa have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes CF Pachuca favourites: CF Pachuca 53%, draw 27%, Necaxa 19%. We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
CF Pachuca- 27 SeptASantos Laguna0-1
- 21 SeptHClub Tijuana2-2
- 12 SeptAAtlante FC3-0
- 5 SeptAFC Juarez2-0
- 30 AugHGuadalajara Chivas1-1
Necaxa- 28 SeptHClub America2-4
- 20 SeptAAtletico San Luis1-3
- 12 SeptHPuebla0-1
- 6 SeptATigres UANL1-1
- 29 AugHCruz Azul1-3
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
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CF Pachuca are favourites. Our model gives CF Pachuca a 53% chance of winning, Necaxa 19%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does CF Pachuca vs Necaxa kick off?
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CF Pachuca vs Necaxa kicks off at 23:10 UTC on Monday, 12 October 2026 at Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto.
