J1 League· Regular Season - 16· Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki3-2
FT
Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 9 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Cerezo Osaka +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XCerezo Osaka or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5V-varen Nagasaki +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2V-varen Nagasaki or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.96 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Cerezo Osaka to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cerezo Osaka -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2V-varen Nagasaki to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5V-varen Nagasaki -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki preview & analysis
Match preview
Cerezo Osaka host V-varen Nagasaki in the J1 League (Regular Season - 16) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium on Saturday, 9 May 2026, with kick-off at 07:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cerezo Osaka have won 4, V-varen Nagasaki have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cerezo Osaka narrow favourites: Cerezo Osaka 44%, draw 38%, V-varen Nagasaki 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | +9 | 31 |
| 3 |  Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | +2 | 31 |
| 4 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | +8 | 30 |
| 5 |  Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Fagiano Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | -3 | 26 |
| 7 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 |  Kyoto Sanga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | V-varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | -10 | 21 |
Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
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Cerezo Osaka are favourites. Our model gives Cerezo Osaka a 44% chance of winning, V-varen Nagasaki 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki kick off?
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Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki kicks off at 07:00 UTC on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka.
