La Liga 2· Regular Season - 5· Municipal El Plantio
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC3-1
FT
Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 11 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Burgos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XBurgos or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5AD Ceuta FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2AD Ceuta FC or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.25 | - |
| 1Burgos to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Burgos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.04 | - |
| 2AD Ceuta FC to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AD Ceuta FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.99 | - |
Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Burgos host AD Ceuta FC in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 5) at Municipal El Plantio on Friday, 11 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Burgos arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 0. Most recently they drew with Oviedo 0-0 away. They're 8th in the table with 14 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Burgos have won 0, AD Ceuta FC have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Burgos narrow favourites: Burgos 44%, draw 38%, AD Ceuta FC 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Burgos- 6 SeptAOviedo0-0
AD Ceuta FCHead to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?
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Burgos are favourites. Our model gives Burgos a 44% chance of winning, AD Ceuta FC 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC kick off?
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Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC kicks off at 18:30 UTC on Friday, 11 September 2026 at Municipal El Plantio, Burgos.
