Championship· Regular Season - 12· Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton
Middlesbrough23 Oct
Bolton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 23 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bolton vs Middlesbrough tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Middlesbrough +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Middlesbrough or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Bolton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XBolton or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Middlesbrough to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Middlesbrough -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Bolton to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bolton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Bolton vs Middlesbrough preview & analysis
Match preview
Bolton host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) at Toughsheet Community Stadium on Friday, 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bolton arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Wolves 3-1 away. They're 14th in the table with 13 points from 10 games. Middlesbrough arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Stoke City 3-2 away. They're 2nd in the table with 21 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bolton have won 0, Middlesbrough have won 6 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Middlesbrough narrow favourites: Bolton 23%, draw 38%, Middlesbrough 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bolton 1-2 Middlesbrough.
Recent form
Bolton- 13 OctAWolves3-1
- 10 OctHStoke City1-2
- 20 SeptANorwich4-3
- 12 SeptHCardiff1-0
- 8 SeptHWest Ham2-3
Middlesbrough- 13 OctAStoke City3-2
- 10 OctHWolves1-0
- 19 SeptABirmingham2-2
- 15 SeptHMillwall2-2
- 12 SeptHNorwich4-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
Bolton vs Middlesbrough: FAQ
What is the Bolton vs Middlesbrough prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Bolton 1-2 Middlesbrough.
Who is the favourite to win Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
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Middlesbrough are favourites. Our model gives Bolton a 23% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bolton vs Middlesbrough kick off?
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Bolton vs Middlesbrough kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton.
