Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Betting Tips

Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Kick-off 01:30

Our prediction

Under 2.5 goals

High· 67%✓ Tip won

Predicted score

1-0

Fair odds

1.50

Expected goals

1.4 - 0.7

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Who will win?

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Match probabilities

50%Boca Juniors

32%Draw

18%Vasco DA Gama

Over 2.5 goals33%

Under 2.5 goals67%

Both teams to score38%

Clean sheet either side62%

More Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH1 +1.5Boca Juniors +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	95%	1.05	1.01
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	84%	1.19	1.08
1XBoca Juniors or Draw	82%	1.22	1.20
AH2 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	73%	1.36	1.22
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	62%	1.62	1.53
X2Vasco DA Gama or Draw	50%	1.99	1.98
1Boca Juniors to win	50%	2.01	1.92
BTTS YesBoth teams to score	38%	2.60	2.40
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	33%	3.01	2.77
XDraw	32%	3.10	3.26
AH1 -1.5Boca Juniors -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	27%	3.74	3.52
2Vasco DA Gama to win	18%	5.60	5.21
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	16%	6.17	5.60
AH2 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	5%	21.16	11.50

Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker	1	X	2	O2.5	U2.5	BTTS	No BTTS
William Hill	1.85	3.00	4.60	-	-	2.40	1.53
1xBet	1.92	3.26	5.21	2.77	1.41	2.40	1.51
Dafabet	1.92	3.20	4.80	-	-	-	-
Bet365	1.85	3.20	5.00	2.88	1.40	2.50	1.50
Marathonbet	1.82	3.10	4.95	2.77	1.41	2.40	1.49
Betfair	1.85	3.10	4.75	2.88	1.40	2.45	1.53
Pinnacle	1.86	3.23	5.12	2.89	1.42	-	-
Betano	1.93	3.20	5.10	2.87	1.45	2.40	1.53

Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama preview & analysis

Match preview

Boca Juniors host Vasco DA Gama in the Copa Sudamericana (Semi-finals) at Alberto J. Armando on Wednesday, 14 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Boca Juniors arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Instituto Cordoba 2-2 away. Vasco DA Gama arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Remo 0-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 10 points from 6 games.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Boca Juniors favourites: Boca Juniors 50%, draw 32%, Vasco DA Gama 18%. We expect around 2.0 goals (1.4 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 33% for over 2.5 and 38% for both teams to score.

Our tip

This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.45, which our model rates at a 67% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Boca Juniors 1-0 Vasco DA Gama.